| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 |
Editor Login
Convener in chief:
David Lazer
(Methodology, Networked Governance)
Editors:
Stanley Wasserman
(Current Trends, Methodology, Social Networks)
Guy Stuart
(Economic Sociology, Finance)
Allan Friedman
(Simulations)
Nathan Eagle
(Technology, Social Computing, Powerlaws, Current Trends)
Ben Waber
(Technology, Social Computing) Ines Mergel
(Knowledge Sharing, Social Computing, Social Software, Current Trends)
Maria Binz-Scharf
(Qualitative Methodology, Knowledge Sharing, eGovernment)
Alexander Schellong
(Admin, eGovernment, Citizen Relationship Management)
Categories
Archives
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- February 2006
- January 2006
- December 2005
- November 2005
Recent Entries
- Proceedings from ICIS 2008 online
- Live from ICIS 2008 in Paris
- Next steps for the Obama network...
- Social Media vs. Knowledge Management
- Pentland on Honest Signals on November 24
- 311: The Next Wave" - Harvard online event 11/13/08
- How Obama won: Conversion or mobilization?
Recent Comments
Notification
« Large Scale Real-Time Behavioral Feedback with Sensors | Main | Fun with numbers: did Obama redraw the political map? »
3 November 2008
manipulation of intrade
Interesting piece in CQ on the manipulation of intrade.
Two excerpts:
An internal investigation by the popular online market Intrade has revealed that an investor's purchases prompted "unusual" price swings that boosted the prediction that Sen. John McCain will become president.
Over the past several weeks, the investor has pushed hundreds of thousands of dollars into one of Intrade's predictive markets for the presidential election, the company said.
...
Pundits and politicians have used Intrade to track the fortunes of the two presidential candidates. Through the site, begun in 1999 and incorporated in Ireland, traders buy and sell "contracts" that function as stocks, allowing investors to gamble on the outcome of political, cultural, or even geological events such as the weather.
The company asserts and experts have found that the Intrade market is generally more accurate in predicting the outcome of major events than other leading indicators, including public opinion polls. But the relatively small scale of the market and its lack of outside regulation could leave the system vulnerable to unscrupulous investors, scholars of predictive markets say.
Posted by David Lazer at November 3, 2008 6:31 PM
-
.
- Business (3) .
- Citizen Relationship Management (17) .
- Commentary (7) .
- Complexity (2) .
- Current Trends (47) .
- eGovernment (21) .
- Events/Announcements (74) .
- Innovation (14) .
- Internet (18) .
- Knowledge Sharing (20) .
- Methodology (32) .
- Networked Governance (18) .
- Networks in political science (5) .
- PNG Working Paper Series (6) .
- Powerlaws (4) .
- Reviews (2) .
- Simulations (1) .
- Small group networks (3) .
- Small Worlds (2) .
- SN in the news (72) .
- Social Capital (3) .
- Social Computing (12) .
- Social Finance (1) .
- Social Networking Platforms (11) .
- Social Psychology (2) .
- Social Software (25) .
- Societal Networks (40) .
- Technology (35)